Doc_eng_22.pdf

Change of river flow in the future based on future climate from 5 climate models Change in % Monthly mpi_echam5 cccma_cgcm3 ipsl_cm4 cnrm_cm3 gfdl_cm2_0 Median Jan -4 -19 -20 -19 -19 -19 Feb -8 -18 -16 -22 -18 -18 Mar -6 -6 -3 -3 2 -3 Apr -6 -2 10 2 24 2 May -22 62 52 34 115 52 Jun -26 49 28 -10 64 28 Jul -13 80 97 51 70 70 Aug -7 76 126 46 50 50 Sep -7 53 55 30 24 30 Oct -5 39 28 18 7 18 Nov -5 -2 -8 -26 25 -5 Dec -4 11 -7 -12 18 -4 Annual average -8 40 45 16 31 25 5 Discussion and Conclusions The analysis on impact of climate change based on data for 5 climate models, even through, the result vary from model but they can provide clear discharge of future change with higher level of confidence than the single climate model.