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The Study on Risk, Vulnerability and Adaptation of Agriculture System and Rain-fed Farmer sub-sectors to Impact of Climate and Socio-economic Change: Case study in Chi-Mun river basin

This project created frameworks and processes in risk, vulnerability and adaptation of agriculture systems and rain-fed farmer sub-sectors to climate and socio-economic changes using Mun-Chi river basin as a case-study.

Funding source: Thailand Research Fund (TRF)
Partners: Khonkaen university (Project leader)
Principal investigator: Dr.Vichien Kerdsuk
Researchers: Suppakorn Chinvanno, Pornwilai Saipothong
Timeframe: November 2008-March 2011
Period: 30 months
Status: on going

This project created frameworks and processes in risk, vulnerability and adaptation of agriculture systems and rain-fed farmer sub-sectors to climate and socio-economic changes using Mun-Chi river basin as a case-study.

This project focused on

  1. Defined determinants and indicators to risk, coping capacity and vulnerability of agricultural systems and farmering communities in the Mun-Chi river basin.
  2. Studied adaptation of agriculture system and farmer communities in the selected area under difference climate scenarios and socio-economic scenarios.

Work in this project includes :
  • Literature review on changes to agriculture systems in the Mun-Chi river basin and impact of climate variability.
  • Analysis on impact of climate change on agriculture system, with focus on rice, maize, cassava and sugar cane.
  • Conducted crop modeling simulation to estimate future crop yield in Chi-Mun river basin under different cropping pattern scenarios, which is driven by different development directions.
  • Assess climate change, risk, vulnerability and adaptation at community level in
  • 1) Loi Aoy District, Kalasin
    2) Pho Sri District, Roi et
    3) Toon Laung District, Roi et
    4) Huay sam mor, Sri Sam ran District, Chaiyaphoom

Gallery

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Developing socio-economic scenario as frame for climate change impact, vulnerability and adaptation assessment.

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Different cropping pattern under different socio-economic scenarios

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Example : Changing crop area under Green Energy scenario

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Simulated future rice production in Chi-Mun river production (Ton/Rai)

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Value of 4 main crops in Chi-Mun River Basins (million Bath)

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Field trip to study sites

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Flood in Lao Aoy District (Source : Subdistrict Administrative Organization of Loi aoy )

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Canel network into agriculture area in Tonglaung district

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Pattern of cassava plantation by improving fertilizing technique to increase yield production

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