Doc_eng_11.pdf

Doc_eng_11.pdf Doc_eng_11.pdf Climate Change impacts in Krabi Province, Thailand. CLIMATE CHANGE SCENARIOS.....................................................................................................28 GLOBAL AND LOCAL CLIMATE CHANGE AND LINKAGES ............................................................................28 METHODOLOGY AND SCENARIO BASED APPROACHES ...............................................................................28 CLIMATE PROJECTIONS ..............................................................................................................................29 TEMPERATURE ............................................................................................................................................30 RAINFALL ...................................................................................................................................................35 SEA LEVEL RISE ..........................................................................................................................................35 TROPICAL CYCLONIC STORM SCENARIOS ...................................................................................................38 SUMMARY OF CLIMATE CHANGE SCENARIOS .............................................................................................40 4. Biodiversity Storms, Rainfall changes, Agriculture, Infrastructure, Slopes, Seasonality and Temperature Flooding, Forests and Biodiversity Coastal inundation, Storm surge, Tourism, Infrastructure erosion and groundwater supply, • GIS and mapping, data sourcing States of climate vulnerable systems and sectors in Krabi province in the context of climate change was spatially described using data at provincial, district and local levels georeferenced and converted to GIS at scales between 1:25,000 to 1:2,500. It is bounded to the north, by Phang Nga Province to the south by Trang Province and on the east by Nakorn Sri Thammarat Province (Figure 5) The Province has a total area of 4,710 sq. national parks (red), non‐hunting areas (blue), wildlife sanctuaries (green), national wetlands (dappled green) and national reserved forests (hatched blue) Page 12 Figure 9 Important biological sites in the province, Whales and Dolphins (red), Dugongs (purple), coral reefs (pink), seagrass beds (blue) and mangrove forest (dappled green) and important seabirds sites (green dots) Page 13 KEY ECONOMIC AND SOCIAL SECTORS Water Resources Krabi province receives most of its freshwater supply from monsoon rainfall that is collected in the province. By analysing the plan in detail it was found that among the 1,449 projects proposed in the plan, 427 (29.5%) were vulnerable to climate change (Table 4), for example some projects themselves may be sensitive or vulnerable to climate in some way, while other projects could result in the increased or decreased resilience of the target groups or location to future climate change. Baseline level and future change (as anomaly) compared to the baseline for 10 and 25 years periods in the future Page 34 RAINFALL Baseline annual rainfall was on average more than 2,000 mm/year for most of the land part of the province and could be more than 3,000 mm/year for mountainous areas covered by lush rainforests (Figure 22). Government policy to promote oil palm, which may be in part an indirect consequence of climate change mitigation, is thought by many as the main reason for the decline in the water resources of the province more than climate change. To assess the vulnerability of these systems and sectors to future climate change, not only the climate risks which could be projected from likely impacts of climate scenarios on systems and sectors, but also coping capacity of those systems and sectors which may or may not be directly dependent on climate.